A Kardashian Jenner astrological tree

Astrological family trees

 are more likely than not

 to show patterns of energy

When full birth data is known a much more confirmational array of repeat energies or energy themes is clearly visible.

Kim Kardashian 

The Kardashian and Jenner extended families have achieved a globally high profile on account of their extended reality TV self-exposure.

When such a successful dynasty exists, astrological analysis, even at it's most basic, gives an insight into the family themes.

Looking at key family members -as well as their significant others - interesting themes are evident

SUN SIGN SCORPIO
Scorpio is "survival at all costs" energy, making Scorpios tough, determined battlers and sometimes lethal in pursuing their instincts -whether that is through money, power, people, possessions
Courtesy of family matriarch Kris, her "out-in-the-world" energy did not surface in her Kardashian children's Sun signs, but in 1991 she chose to match up with fellow Scorpio Bruce* [original name of Caitlyn] Jenner.
From this union of 2 Scorpios came 2 daughters -and one - Kendall - is also a Scorpio
Scorpio also emerged in the entrance of Lamar Odom into the family - as husband of Khloe Kardashian

SUN SIGN PISCES
Pisces is the least "out-in-the-world' energy..it is the energy of seclusion and retreat -privacy is the preferred style of life
Robert Kardashian Senior brought the soft, sensitive Pisces energy into the family.
It expressed directly through his son Rob's Sun sign.
Pisces is one of the most difficult energies for men to own...it needs to be expressed through faith or spirituality, through sensitivity and compassion - but usually it is too hard for men to be this soft, so it is channeled into drug or alcohol abuse.
Robert's daughter Kourtney got Pisces as her Ascendant or sign that was rising at her birth time [modifying factors though make her tougher than Kim]
From Robert, daughter Kim got a Pisces Moon - for a woman, Pisces is much more traditionally acceptable. Kim has very sensitive emotional disposition.
Khloe was born with no astrological factors in Pisces but her potential to become more sensitive has been triggered since 2010 and even more so since 2011 with Pisces planet - Neptune - softening her in a very personal way.

CARDINAL SUN Signs
The group of 4 signs Aries Libra Cancer Capricorn are described as Cardinal - they actively express energy through ways of relating.
Aries energy demands a strong relationship with the Self, more independence
Libra energy is primed for partnership but has to guard against to much dependence = the scales can become unbalanced
Cancer energy is the homely family style of relating, including nurturing and parenting others in a female style
Capricorn is the way of relating to society in roles as a senior manager, mentor = in loco parentis - in the style of a supportive or guiding fatherly figure
Cardinal Signs feature strongly in the Kardashian energy through the union of Robert and Kris.
Robert had Capricorn rising at his birth and Libra in the highest position of the sky overhead = midheaven
Kris has her emotions [Moon] expressed through Cancer -extending her role as mother into a management business. She also has 3 planets in Libra
Kim is Sun Sign Libra
Khloe has Sun sign Cancer plus Mercury and Venus in that sign.
Kourtney has 3 planets in Aries including Mercury, Mars and Sun. Moon is in Capricorn. Pluto in Libra
Rob's most relevant cardinal sign element is Moon in Libra
Kendall -has multiple significant factors in cardinal signs
Kylie - has multiple significant factors in cardinal signs
Caitlyn - has a significant life path indicator axis in Aries-Libra - with the direction in this life pointing to self-development, not partnership

All this relating energy signifies that as a result of parental energies and shared lessons in this life, the original Kardashian family - and the offspring of the Jenner union - will all spend a huge amount of their learning time on this planet trying to get to grips with who they are as an individual, and how to operate in all types of relating. This is a strong and undeniable family theme -genetically carried, astrologically visible and karmically entangled.

Fixed Signs
The fixed signs have a significant role for these conjoined families.
Taurus Scorpio Leo and Aquarius are in this group of survivalist signs - each choosing their own distinctive style of survival.
3 signs stand out as relevant in this extended family tree:
Scorpio Leo Aquarius
Scorpio has been dealt with earlier.
The Leo style of survival is through receiving love, attention, adoration and by acts of creation = a symbolic immortality - through offspring - or creative works - which also gain attention or fame
Aquarius style survival is by creating networks -like-minded people all connected - whether remotely or anonymously is not important - but the focus usually begins with everyday world friendships, group involvements - building a sense of humanity and social structure through shared interests, common goals
Robert had Moon in Aquarius
Kris - multiple planets in Scorpio and Leo
Rob -  Aquarius as rising sign
Bruce/Caitlyn - Scorpio Sun, Aquarius Moon, Leo as the midheaven sign
Kim -Mercury [type of thoughts] in Scorpio
Khloe - Mars and Saturn in Scorpio [affects attractions to men]
Kourtney - no significant factors in fixed signs
Kendall - Scorpio Sun
Kylie - Sun Leo, Moon Scorpio.

Energy Shifts
The bloodlines, energies karma all undergo change with children born from partners outside of the original Robert-Kris union
Through Kim:
Kim's love, partner and attraction energies run from Taurus through Gemini and Cancer - so men with those signs will appeal to her. She has Mars in Sagittarius = making sportsmen and people of other cultures/ethnicities also attractive.
[Kanye West is a Gemini Sun sign]

Through Kourtney:
Cancer, Virgo, Libra, Scorpio are her love, partner and attraction indicators. She has Mars in Aries - which more accurately reflects the man in her life Scott Disick  a Gemini Sun sign who is known mostly for his anger-management issues = classic Mars in Aries

Through Khloe:
Khloe has Mars and Saturn in Scorpio = older males with this energy will appeal. Cancer, Virgo and Libra are her love, partner and attraction indicators.
Lamar Odom is a Scorpio [an energy linking Khloe more to her early association with Bruce [Scorpio], than with her biological father Robert [Pisces].

Headed by Kris Jenner, the Kardashian-Jenner clans are clearly a matriarchal dynasty - her husband Robert died and her subsequent husband Bruce crossed over to the female side.  The 3 Kardashian sisters find their path towards stable partnership is studded with issues.

References
Excellent astrological data in the form of birth charts is available for the Kardashian-Jenner family through astro.com
Here are 3 examples referred to in the text:

This is a Death Chart - astrological indicators of a violent event

This is a Death Chart - astrological indicators of a violent event

Planetary positions at Universal Time 04.15 on 25 October 2016.
One high profile event [details withheld out of respect for the tragedy] is known to have occurred on this day at the indicated time, involving multiple fatalities.
An energy is earthed at a particular place and time
due to a synergy of the locational, prevailing and individual/personal energies being in resonance.
What is found commonly with events of significant impact is that planetary positions are very clearly potentized at the time of the event.

• An astrological chart has two power axes - the vertical axis labelled MC-IC and the horizontal axis labelled AC-DC. 
• One or both of theses axes are commonly found to be strongly activated - more accurately the planetary factors especially in close conjunction to either axis - are strengthened, made more significant -when high profile events occur.
• Depending of the signatures of the planets involved -this can work positively or negatively in terms of outcomes.

• This chart has Saturn and Venus in the most powerful position of all possible points around the chart circle -the most elevated point in the circle.
• Saturn is a bond, Venus is a relationship
• Next look to the left of the horizontal axis: 
• Neptune in Pisces and the South Lunar node in Pisces are in close range of the ascendant energies in Pisces
• Pisces is water
• Saturn and Venus are the apex of energies radiating left and right -as shown by the red lines. The north and South lunar nodes are shown completing the triangle by their exact opposition. Multiple stress energies generated by this arrangement.

water surrounds an event involving loss of relationship, separation, confusion, anxiety, grief 

• A tightly grouped collection of energies -all within the range 8-13 degrees intensifies the conflicting forces

• The Sun and Mercury closely connected in early Scorpio  [0-2 degrees] link to the suspected trigger -the Moon at 0 degrees. 
• Scorpio and the 8th house where they were positioned at the event time concern issues of transformation and death.
• The Moon not only activated the Scorpio forces but also the Mercury energy of transport  - death in motion
• The Moon also triggered the 15 degree position of Pluto [Scorpio's representative planet] [sesquiquadrate angle]

Pluto forces are commonly present in violent events.
Here Pluto sits in range of Mars [15 & 19 degrees].

• Mars then responds to the sudden violent force coming from Uranus in Aries [22 degrees] 
• Uranus is the usual suspect in accidents and it is part of the picture here but most significantly is the role of karmic interpersonal dynamics - signified by the outright prominence of Saturn-Venus at the time of the event and the very karmically* relevant lunar nodes sitting so noticeably across the horizontal axis -the energy point that is all about Self and Other -close relationships and relationship with the Self -and how forces related to past and future lives all came to fruition in a very sudden life-changing event.

No single cause is evident in disastrous events. There is always a trigger [usually the Moon, being the fastest moving factor] then like a series of co-ordinated explosions, the energies merge in a domino effect, cascading into chaotic outcomes.


*Karma is a complex Buddhist term that encompasses multiple inter-related factors that stem from past actions and that over time involve rebalancing

BREXIT astrology - the world has changed

June 2016 saw the UK deliver a LEAVE vote in terms of membership of the European Union
Most of the debate has been immigration focussed -but it is the political, economic and financial causes and consequences which are possibly more significant.
Astrological cycles are a powerful guide to historical events and in 2016 the essence of the current Saturn-Jupiter cycle has been awakened.
[May 2000 the last Saturn-Jupiter conjunction at 22'43 Taurus
Note also: Pluto in that chart was 11'38 Sagittarius]
Fast forward to 2016
June 23
Saturn -the classic signifier of separation being by this stage at 11'40 Sagittarius triggers a transformational freedom [Pluto in Sagittarius] foreshadowed in the conjunction chart of May 2000

this quickly released image from the Leave sector

[Mars at 23'23 Scorpio on 23/6/2016 activates the original conjunction - Saturn and Jupiter play out the classic tug-of-war - Saturn = separating, versus Jupiter = being part of a big socio-political territory.]
But Saturn in Sagittarius requires a blending of the two motivations - and freedom through leaving seems to have captured a few more million people in the UK referendum

Pluto energy signifies that much has has to break down and burn to the core in order for a new version to arise out of the ashes.
This is transformation, this is healing and renewal - exactly the intense change that most people dread and fear right through to the cellular level, when it affects any aspect of life - but when a whole nation is collectively put on the bonfire, it's a powerful rebirth that's on offer.

Faith and trust are called upon more than ever that something better could arise -better than propping up dysfunctional plutocratic governments, the privileged and comfortable sectors who have been the clearly identified beneficiaries of neoliberal politics across the world, the architects of austerity, the engineers of inequality.  
[ The June New Moon with the mutable grand cross -Gemini Sagittarius Virgo Pisces served as a significant trigger for this momentous change -with Saturn, [leave] Jupiter, [stay combined] Neptune,[faith] Venus,[financial issues] Sun and Moon all in a battle for resolution: the Brexit vote has displayed what the majority wanted in the UK]
So June 2016 marks a very significant stake in the ground in the European and global arena.

In terms of energy shifts -which are essentially the role of astrology to identify and explain - we, globally and collectively are sitting, in 2016, on the fringes of the biggest shift in 200 years

excerpt from Saturn-Jupiter analysis*

So, in the most recent cycle, aside from 1980-81, our global humanity has been locked increasingly and highly dysfunctionally, into a very materialistic, money-oriented mindset since 1802.

In 2016, the world is again being put on notice, given a forewarning, a wake-up call, courtesy of Brexit and the obvious financial ripples, shudders and crashes.
A bright light is illuminating the coming transition towards the end of 2020 - the beginning of 200 years shift in focus - focus away from money, possessions, mass indulgence in greed, accumulating, collecting, storing. THINGS, objects, stuff, clutter.
And because nothing happens in a vacuum - global effects with mass consequences are the expected conduit through which humanity's relationship to money, possessions, accumulation is in many ways forcibly changed.
People en masse are simply not going to wake up in this transition period and beyond 2020, and say words to the effect I'm over this materialist shit - though a few already are and people in the 1960's hippy era did embrace this philosophy 
-[Saturn and Jupiter conjuncted in 1961]
So global events are the obvious precursor crisis that enforces less materiality -and yes, less money,- due to conditions of deprivation for many-rather than a pre-selected personal philosophical choice.

The hard way is enforced change.
The easier way is working out in advance where the flow is going and making personal decisions that create a shift away from so much extreme dependence on a materialistic existence - eg renting versus owning property, public transport versus personal vehicle, reducing the quantity of consumer goods purchased in favour of using just what you need or sharing/borrowing/hiring appliances/tools/equipment.
Being prepared to live on a lower income.
Getting rid of clutter, stored possessions. [The minimalist style is an early flavour of what is to be much more prevalent]
Downsizing -literally reducing the scale of the things you choose to keep - housing, transport - house to apartment; from car to a scooter.

Because we have already entered the transition period there are many indicators of these shifts in consciousness about materialism.
More is to come because it is a collective shift that will capture the essential mindset of humanity -and many will not be interested in making a change. But the flow cannot be resisted. Standing in a growing flood is simply the sign of a delusional ego.
Global financial crises have been continually anticipated again in the years after the 2007 GFC and the odds have arguably been increased with the Brexit Leave vote.
Brexit itself is not the world changer, Brexit happened because the world is in transition for even more change.

Some opinions:

References and Other Reading
Glen Greenwald sums up Brexit as anti neoliberalism
A call for transformative politics
 Why Working class voters headed for Brexit
*Cycle analysis : Saturn-Jupiter
The Great Conjunction of Saturn and Jupiter

2012 - 2015 Zodiac Forecast - who is most affected?

2012-2015 Forecast 

- looks like very rough & tough for many. We are about to face a tough four years when an energy pattern not seen since the 1930's will bring dramatic changes to the lives of many around the world.
This forecast was published on Dec 30 2011

• Uranus and Pluto are set to turn the world upside down both literally and figuratively during a phase of readjustment which affects people and places.
• We know so much has to change in order for a better world to develop. Many imbalances have to be rectified so that the extremes of too much and too little cease to devastate the planet and people's lives.
•  Already we have started to experience the foreshadowing of what is to come due to early interactions between these two planetary energies setting the scene for the tide of change to come more emphatically - political unrest, economic austerity and conditions of social adversity. 
• The Occupy movement has made a start in publicising the need for equity and fair practices, but despite this, corruption related to money is rampant

1. All energy patterns occur within an electromagnetic matrix that exists throughout the universe.
2.  For any prevailing energy pattern to affect someone -whether actively by triggering a behaviour or passively by attracting a behaviour - the person will have a resonant or matching vibrational pattern aligned to the vibrational frequency of the planetary energy.
3. Astrology is simply a language for this patterning, using the symbolism of the planets and the descriptive terms identifying the type of energy created when planetary bodies form geometric relationships, called angles -such as square (90degrees) or opposition (180degrees)
4.  Like people, places also have a resonant energy pattern and thus some people and some places seem especially targeted by a particular planetary pattern.  When you are born - place, time, season, generation - are all highly significant in unfolding your destiny or karma. 

Though it is hard to simplify such information, it is possible to highlight particular groups of people who will be most challenged by the changes to come during 2012-2015.

Firstly I have looked at particular birth dates (Sun position) and secondly birthdates of the 8th harmonic group ( 45 degree multiples).
Both of these categories have been identified in relationship to the positions of Uranus square Pluto during 2012-2015. 
The zodiac degrees from 7 to 15 are involved which affects those born on the dates
Feb 14-19
March 27-April 5
May 14-21
June 28 to July 7
Aug 16-23
Sept 30 to Oct 8
Nov 16-22
Dec 29-Jan 6

There will be affects for people across these date ranges, but when Uranus and Pluto are exact at 90 degrees separation, the effects are pronounced.

This data covers the year, the key months and which birthdates (born any year) are very strongly affected

2012
June & Sept :
Feb 12-13, March 27-28,  May 12-13 , June 28-29,  Aug 14-15, 
Sept 30-Oct 1, Nov 14-15, Dec 29-30                                       
                                    

2013
May & October-November: 
Feb 14-15-16, March 30, May 14-15-16 , June 30, July 1,  Aug 16-17-18, 
Sept 2-3,  Nov 16-17-18, Dec 1-2,  

2014   
April                         
Jan 4 , Feb 17-18, April 3,  Oct 6,  May 17-18, July 3, Aug 19-20-21, Nov 19-20-21

2015
March 
Jan 6, Feb 19, April 5, May 20-21,  July 7, Aug 22-23,  Oct 8, Nov 22


Some flexibility is needed re the dates which means that effects can occur on or around the dates specified because highly specific info can only be provided when individual birth time-date-place data is provided.
For the same reason this data cannot cover all the birthdates of people affected - having the Moon or other planets like Mercury, Venus, Mars etc in one of the target degrees will result in obvious effects. 
(You need a personal astrological birth chart analysis to  know this.) 

The keys signs of the Uranus-Pluto pattern are Aries and Capricorn but Libra and Cancer are intrinsically implicated being the rest of the cardinal sign group.  Bodily stresses for this whole Cardinal sign group include head injury or injury from weapons; issues with blood, fever, bones, knees, teeth, kidneys and stomach.

The 8th harmonic group is fixed signs Leo, Aquarius, Taurus, Scorpio -with body weaknesses being heart, circulation, throat, thyroid, neck, sex organs, reproductive/fertility issues.

So internal stresses -bodily - are equally possible effects -  as are outward stresses for an individual -eg those involving their environment, locality, nation and the world at large.

New Structures is the necessity of this planetary pattern. 
To create something new can mean the old must be destroyed, replaced, deconstructed, remodelled, transformed, possibly annihilated. 
Radical changes are likely to be commonplace in order to break with the past, tradition, old habits and practices. Resistance to change will also be evident and people in the 8th harmonic group -the Fixed zodiac signs are most likely to passionately avoid going with the flow willingly.  
For this reason they are most likely to experience enforced changed coming from more powerful forces -eg weather, nature, political policies, social unrest. 
To prepare for change which may be imminent for you, take time to reflect on what is really not working in your life and personal state of being. 
Start there and you will contribute to the collective shift instead of ending up in the highly stressed resistant group. 
Better to go willingly

Christchurch Shakes Again and Again

Since September 4 2010 

seismic activity in the Christchurch region, New Zealand

has remained well beyond background levels.

latest entries precede original post

2018
January
The earthquake spread in January 2018 includes recent reactivations in the Christchurch region -as well as in the larger subduction zone down the eastern diagonal flank of both islands - following the energy shift provided by the Jan 2 perigee closest orbiting moon for the year.
January 2018 is a watch and see period due not only to the perigee moon but the energised mid January New Moon [17th] and the following first eclipses of 2018 [Feb 1 and Feb 16 in NZ which all sustain themes set in place from 2017 year's end Dec 31/Jan1 2018 which indicate higher than usual risk of structural collapse -as indicated in this post for the January forecast
Counting back from Jan 20 there have been at least 8 quakes over M3 [and considerably more M2+] in the larger Canterbury region

Geonet data - highlighting added

2017 
October
Since November 2016 with the M7.8 Kaikoura quake, attention shifts to the larger region involved in the subduction of the Pacific plate under the Australian plate, placing the eastern flank of the North Island down to Cook Strait as the anticipated next high risk zone

GNS SCIENCE

September
A M7.1 quake in Mexico has occurred with strong energetic similarities to the February 22 2011 quake
This very similar energy to Feb 2011 has found expression on another continent.

2016 
February 29 severe shaking from a M4.3, 5kms deep centrally located near Cashmere has further revisited the horrors of 5 years ago, though no initial reports of damage or injury.

Quakemap energy chart showing a significant late Feb spike

Feb 14 M5.7 offshore from New Brighton reignites a higher level of seismic unrest.
The likelihood of a M5.0-5.9 quake was 49%, before today's quake - and 5.7 % for a M 6.0-6.9 quake. 

There was less than a 1% likelihood of an earthquake larger than magnitude 7 according to Geonet

The last 100 quakes in the moderate to severe range -via Geonet extensively populate the plate boundary through the main islands of New Zealand

 This data includes recent other large events: a Jan 28 2016 M4.1 south of Christchurch and a M5.7 at St Arnaud, south of Nelson on Feb 9 2016

April 2015 
Two M3.8 quakes within the period April 5-7
The first in the hills above Lyttelton, the second above Governor's Bay

April 7

Widespread activity continues, generally at low levels but concentrations around Lyttelton Harbour and south of Rolleston are evident

 data & graphics from Christchurch Quake Map

2014
No significant quake resurgence in 2014 but from mid December, some enhanced [though not significantly damaging] seismicity up to M4.5

       refer to Geonet

April 13

Enhanced global seismicity is noted in the building phase of the full moon lunar eclipse [exact on Tues 15th -and with extra complexities -Read 2014 extreme events forecast ]

Christchurch experienced a M4.2 -5kms deep at 8.36am near the Port Hills

March 20 saw a M4.04 west in the Greendale fault zone.

M4.74 is presently the pass mark to get into the top 100 for the region

April so far continues the pattern of intermittent events M4+ in a more active recent period but the month has further intense potentials.

This day also saw a major quake in the Solomons Region M7.6 and Christchurch does seem to have echo events when other distant big events occur.

The first quarter of 2014 has passed with no major destructive events though events over M4 remain very intermittent.
This graphic from Quakelive shows the pattern of declining intensity.

Because of plate boundary stress from enhanced activity, the Kapiti region is the subject of more seismic concern at present - news report  geology report

December 2013
A pattern of very minimal activity interspersed with random higher events is continuing
A flurry occurred across the region on Dec 19 in the period 12.44am-1.15 am to a maximum of M3.9 - though this was a seafloor event off Parklands & not newsworthy it seems.

November 2013
A pattern of very minimal activity interspersed with random higher events is continuing

November 18 M4.6

Monday 18 Nov 11.36pm M4.6 in suburban Christchurch, 137 tonnes, being the largest event in the region since October 1st 2013 M4.7 -  a seafloor event off New Brighton
report

October has ended with a bang after an unusual lull period lasting some 20 days
M4.2 at the eastern end zone of the Greendale Fault at 4.21 am followed by a nearby M3.3
Then at 9.45 am a M3.8 50kms n/e of Mt Cook - in range of the Alpine Fault

This activity comes in the wake of extensive high activity on the sun during October particularly in the last week - multiple M and X level flares - high level magnetic discharges which have been shown to precede noticeable seismic responses on earth.
October has begun the first week with more  intense seismicity in Canterbury e.g. Oct 1st M4.6 seafloor off New Brighton, and 2 shallow events at M3.3 on subsequent days one east one west.
Generally there have been lower magnitude sporadic events in recent months with the odd one over M4

Also read October 2013 astro-analysis for relevant background material to this larger than usual lately event

August 25 2013
Geonet statistics over the past year reveal that the larger Canterbury region and the South Island in general are the most seismically active over the period, but the Wellington and Taranaki regions now have prominence in the North Island statistics. 
While Christchurch itself has been seismically quieter, activity in the larger region has implications for the city
Geonet stats.

July 29 2013
Christchurch has today felt the effects of a M4.7 south of Hanmer Springs.
The Seddon Sequences are capable of stressing the Alpine Fault and recent activity in Canterbury has tended to be more north and west
for more on the Alpine Fault issues - video of recent research



July 22 2013
Data has been removed from Quakemap related to the graphic below suggesting false readings.
Peak ground acceleration in the newly named Seddon Sequences measured in respect of gravity was only 10% of the strength of shaking experienced in the Feb 22 Chch quake. [20%G vs 2G]
No events over M4 of late in the Canterbury region
July 21 2013
Cook Strait activity has increased since July 19 [M5.7]with 2 larger events on this day - M5.8, M6.5
Christchurch has not been unconnected to this significant seismic activity.

quaklive data

This snapshot of July 21 shows a M5.2 followed by a M4.3 then M3.7 - forming a triangle from Pegasus Bay to Lowry Hills Range then down to Okuku. Quakelive & Quakemap show this activity -but Geonet appears overloaded & focussing on the main show. This significant activity has arisen in the context of elevated solar-lunar gravitational forces during May-June-July peaking around dates of the Supermoons and likely accumulating with expected further activity in August - see August report

July 19 2013
Quakes approaching M4 have been occuring in the larger Canterbury area in the past week -latest July 19 M3.94 , shallow 5kms deep inland hill country near Bealey at 12.13pm.
This follows and most likely a resonant response to the most significant recent quake in NZ earlier, same day, further north: M5.7, 16kms deep, seafloor east of Seddon at 9.06 am.
Multiple aftershocks followed in that location, the highest being M4.5, then 3 between M3.3 - M3.5

Red slash to the right shows the M5.7 just emerging on the quake drums

July 17 2013
A resumption of stronger quake activity in the period mid June-Mid-July after a lull mid-May to mid-June -see Quakelive

June 18 2013
Important insights and writings of Fiona Farrell on the Christchurch aftermath, from Radio NZ interview, June 16 



    This snapshot of activity since 2007 gives some insight into the extended strength of activity

Quakelive graphic showing 50kms radius of Chch central

May 2013

A pattern of intermittent events over M3.0 and up to M4.16 - along with sporadic lower magnitude aftershocks continues across the region

April 2013

Alpine Fault study sees Canterbury at risk of M7.0 effects - report

The most recent 25 events March 27-April 9 -from M1.9 to M3.0

Coloured dots show variable depths. Though intensity & frequency have declined, recent activity is diverse across the region -north-south-east-west as shown on this clickable graphic from Quakemap

March 2013:

Early in March, especially March 5-10 saw a slump in seismic activity in the target region but following a geomagnetic storm [ the magnetic disturbance on earth  after the sun discharged a full halo coronal mass ejection on March 15] St Patrick's weekend's magnetic sudden impulse would be expected to show some subsequent seismic disturbance in vulnerable regions - and it did on March 18 across Canterbury with a resumption of lower level events under M3 in diverse places west to east, so there may be more potential building for a larger aftershock.

February 2013:

In the fortnight from late January 2013 to early February an uptick in quake energy is evident in energy graphs supplied by Quakemap & Quakelive.

The following updates prior to 2013 were added to original post of June 13 2011

An end of 2012 summary and a dedicated 2013 post are now available on this site for more current information on Canterbury and Christchurch earthquakes and aftershocks. further reading includes Christchurch: why warnings have been given

September 21 2012

Recent event over M4 -Sept 21 M4.3

In recent months, the region had reached the longest period of inactivity/minimal seismicity since the Sept 4 2010 initial sequence. see July-August 2012 data

Seafloor events in Pegasus Bay continue to dominate

July 11 2012

July has seen two large but undamaging quakes a M4.88 at Greendale fault zone on July 6 and a M4.94 on July 10 at Tai Tapu. These fall within the 6 month warning period but July remains a vulnerable period re further significant unrest.

June 2 2012

M4.3,  9kms deep this morning, seafloor off Sumner, adding to recent M4+ activity in Pegasus Bay

May 31 2012

South Canterbury has produced a strong, 100 tonne,  M4.5 shake this morning [ with aftershocks], centred at Mayfield, west of Ashburton and described as "savage" in Temuka -report

May 28 2012

The Pegasus Bay seafloor is hogging the higher magnitude action currently with M3.9 & M4.4 both at 8kms deep this morning

See Quakemap [this specific data link will expire in days] .

The energy graph is climbing in a manner not seen in the prior 3 sequences 

May 25 2012

Diverse seismic activity on land and undersea, to a maximum of M5.2 - which was offshore of New Brighton. 13 quakes over M2.0 reported up to 6pm today.

Geonet graphic:  showing the most significant activity since January 2 2012, subsequent to the sequence starting on Dec 23 2011

Even the govt acknowledges that each quake of significant magnitude makes insurers more nervous & the rebuild more delayed. Insurers want a clear time frame of nil to little seismic activity in order to take a punt on Christchurch, because they are not in the business of paying out.

[update May 28: insurers claim it's business as usual - report

May 23 2012

In terms of the broader seismic condition of the South Island, recently published research has focussed on readings taken 100kms underground in a 50kms section relating to the Alpine fault - from Karangarua River in the southwest, to Whataroa. Two years of data were collected relating to unusual "creeping" or "rumbling", slow-slip, long-duration quakes  - not short, sharp discrete events as commonly known - but low intensity -around M1.0 level readings lasting minutes, weeks and years. This situation remains unclear as to whether it is a build-up or a release situation relating to the Alpine Fault -but researchers acknowledge that the region is overdue for a top magnitude quake - M8.0 or higher, as has happened there on 4 occasions in the past 900 years ( the last being around 300 years ago) GNS Science rates a high probability of a major Alpine quake in the coming 40years, which will have extensive human impact. - full report

May 21 2012

Press report on the flurry of quakes on May 20

Quakelive recorded 17 shakes in 24 hrs.

This quake sequence has retained considerable vigor, in terms of the bounce back capacity at this point of supposed decay. Don't rule out more surprises. 

May 20 2012

6.18pm update

M4.8 seafloor quake, 5.06pm, seafloor off Sumner, 8kms deep. No damage or outages reported

Earlier report:

The seismicly sensitive Rolleston tip of the Greendale fault has been active this morning, producing a M4.1 quake, 10 kms deep at 9.35 am.  The Rolleston area features significantly in the top 100 quakes of Canterbury since Sept 4 2010. The current Top 100 ranges from the initial M7.1 down to M4.63   -  data

Update & correction : The M4.8 has now entered the Top 100 at spot 71. 

Top 100 positions  13, 26, 40, 44, 53, 69, 76, 91, 93  (9 events) all occurred in January 2012, so today's quake means 10% of the Top 100 have occurred within the first 6 months of 2012

Noting that this coincides within the effective period of an annular solar eclipse [exact on May 21 NZ time].

May 16 2012

Superimposed graphics using original energy data from Quakelive   

Comparisons may show pattern similarities. Of the 6 comparisons, June and December 2011 appear to be following the most similar decay pattern.   (click any graphic to view in slideshow panel)

May 15 2012 

Pegasus Bay quake today at 1.27pm -  10kms deep, 6.6kms off New Brighton.

Being 52 tonnes, this is the largest since a swarm over M4 in January 2012

The M3.3 ( 1 tonne) which followed it, at 1.48pm was on land in the Landfill Ave-Waitikiri Golf Course area, north east of the city.

May 14 2012

Data provided by Quakelive covering 4 sequences of quakes since Sept 4 2010 in Canterbury-Christchurch gives the following comparisons of length of sequence, using basic analysis of their data where 30.5 days = one month.

Sept 4 :   5.6 months

Feb 22 :  3.6 months

June 13: 6.3 months

Dec 23 :  4.7 months to date

What happens over the next 8 weeks may indicate whether this last sequence shows any consistency with the prior 3. 

April 12 2012

Was a resonance response involved in the M4.6 quake in Pegasus Bay 12 noon today? ([the largest since Jan 27 2012 in the region]

                      The Christchurch event shown above on the Geonet quake drum  

This comes at noon on April 12 NZ time, about 16 hours after the waters off Sumatra Indonesia shook to repeated quake sequence initiated by a M8.6 in the Indian Ocean - which registered like this in New Zealand:

    The Sumatra M8.6 at around 8.30pm NZ time April 11 registers strongest on the northern quake drums.

Mexico has also had a significant quake equivalent to 10.55am NZ time on April 12

Read about the Supermoon, lunar declination and solar coronal hole effects in this period.

April 7 2012

Though Pegasus Bay has hogged the limelight in terms of persistent quake activity since Dec 23 2011, now some higher magnitude activity has resumed at the Greendale fault area around Rolleston ( April 6 M3.86, M4.19) The latter is the largest since  M4.29 March 18 2012, east of Lyttelton

March 26 2012

The desolation of many neighbourhoods in Christchurch (examples examples) reflects a global phenomenon of emptied and abandoned spaces -see image gallery 

March 24 2012

2 simultaneous Pegasus Bay quakes Christchurch M3.9-M4.1 at 5.09pm local timecontinue a spate of nationwide events over M4.0 during March, coinciding with intense solar activity and subsequent geomagnetic intensification. This is consistent with the proposal that earthquakes may be precipitated in response to elevated solar phases - read more

March 18 2012

Latest 25 as at 10.51 am: The pattern has resumed an "all over the place" scatter situation indicating widespread movement. Colour dots equal depths with hot colours being most shallow.

                                        Latest 25 - click to enlarge all graphics - source Quakemap

Two M4 events around 1am this morning Banks Peninsula area recorded on Quakelive  (other sites say just a single M4.3 or M4.4 event).

March 1 2012

A M4.3 quake at Rolleston, in the Greendale fault zone at 8.02 am today, preceded by small local movements in the Rolleston-Prebbleton-Lincoln triangle, while most activity continues in Pegasus Bay. Today's quake is second largest since Feb 8 and the 3 largest in that time frame have been in 3 different locations - west, Pegasus Bay and Banks Peninsula.

The vigorous, though declining,  pattern, activated since Dec 23 2011 is visible on this energy graph  

The Feb 22 anniversary was charitably quiet during memorial services.

Strongest and most frequent activity is now back in Pegasus Bay since Feb 19

                                                   CHCHQUAKEMAP LATEST 25     

                                                                                 

click images to enlarge

 

February 9 2012

The most recent pattern is away from Pegasus Bay and back to the mainland, with a quake swarm around the February 8 Full Moon

M4.2  and M4.3, M3.5 on Banks Peninsula (Feb8-9)

M4.2 Rolleston South (Feb 9)

M3.2 Bromley (Feb 9)

source: Quakelive

Latest 25 on Jan 22 CHCH QUAKEMAP 

click images to enlarge

January 27

Confirming the report noted on Jan 25, after some noise several hours earlier, on the Oxford quake drum, a M4.6 quake occurred in the Greendale zone near Rolleston this evening

The Geonet NZ quake drum shows the M4.6 emerging around 8.45 pm Jan 27

January 25

Scientists have released an opinion re renewed seismic activity at the Rolleston area of the Greendale fault zone

"stress still needs to be released" -full Press report

January 23

Left,right and centre. Significant seismic action in the west, centre and east continues

M4.5 in Pegasus Bay is the largest

Quakelive data

January 21 2012

This day was notable for a resumption of significant quake activity ( including two  M4+ ) at the Rolleston  end of the Geendale fault in west Canterbury

Meanwhile, the feisty forces operating in Pegasus Bay show a vigorous sequence extending since Dec 23.

January 10 2012

Updated entries on  Mathematics Link Christchurch Quakes shows how powerful the December 23 new Pegasus Bay sequence is. This new sequence may provide a big clue to the next significant phase.

Christchurch QuakeMap - latest 25 on Jan 3
CLICK TO ENLARGE ALL GRAPHICS

January 6 2012

The Quakelive energy chart shows how strong this sequence is compared to the June 2011 events.

Today M5 Pegasus Bay. Council plans to install a tsunami alert system and seismologist Kelvin Berryman does not rule out a quake induced tsunami; "around Canterbury there may well be an ongoing sequence over a period of a few decades". Kelvin Berryman tells meeting today -more from The Press

January 4 2012
Christchurch Quakemap graphic of top 25 quakes (2010-2012)  shows a range from M5.2-M7.1.    In 2012 this includes already a M5.5 in Pegasus Bay
Shakes in the M2-M3 range continue -almost exclusively in Pegasus Bay.
Seismic research from Switzerland uncovers information of value to those in Christchurch: liquefying soils amplify quakes 
January 3 2012

Christchurch Press is reporting :
"United States seismologist Kevin Furlong, a visiting professor at Canterbury University last year from Pennsylvania State University, said all the quakes since December 23 were similar, produced by slip on short, steeply dipping faults oriented roughly east-northeast/west-southwest".
"The magnitudes of the events are not particularly alarming, but what is of particular interest is that we are having something that is more swarm-like; that is, a multiple number of similar-sized events in a region, but not all on the same structure or fault."  - FULL REPORT

Residents of Christchurch are wanting answers since the eastern seafloor location raises concerns of swells or a tsunami being generated in the bay by a M7+ event. Scientists will meet this week under urgency to discuss what may have generated this recent swarm.

For alternative views on the risk potential go to Christchurch - why warnings have been given.

January 2 2012

A second swarm today, commencing 1.27 am, comprising over 3 kilotonnes of energy release, with magnitudes up to M5.48 so far by 8.14pm, all in Pegasus Bay, clustering off New Brighton but also further north and further east, broadening the geolocation of the events. This is a major sequence.

Data

Click to enlarge all graphics:      above Geonet NZ Jan 2 2012 screenshot

Dec 26 2011

This news cannot have been of any reassurance to Chch-Canterbury residents that they are safe from significant environmental threats.

Google Map from Quakelive
Shows Pegasus Bay with marked faults known prior to Dec 2011

The majority of quakes in this sequence have clustered around close offshore from New Brighton where the purple quake marker sits in this screenshot. The most northern one was at the latitude of Sefton and around centre longitudinally in this image. The most southern seafloor event has been north of Diamond Harbour. Significant land-based quakes have also occurred in the area marked as Diamond Harbour

Click to enlarge

In this latest sequence, targetting Pegasus Bay, data taken from the period from 1.58pm Dec 23 2011-11.44am Dec 26 2011 over 27 kilotonnes of energy has been released into Pegasus Bay. (kilotonne=1000 tonnes)

The initial event released 9 kilotonnes

Dec 23 2011

Major quakes today in Christchurch M5.8 at 1.58pm plus significant aftershocks

click to enlarge Geonet graphic

                                                                 Dec 23.2011    News Report
Initial data received on Dec 23 2011:

USGS data gives 3 quake events

QuakeMap now listing 5 events  over M4 this afternoon Dec 23

M5.9,M5.3 M4.6 were all seafloor events Pegasus Bay off New Brighton

at 3.18pmThe M6 was on the shore at South New Brighton

at 4.50pm The M5 was again in Pegasus Bay

Dec 16 2011

A downtrend has continued in quake frequency in Christchurch - see data page but the lives of many residents are still in limbo and the recovery of the region has been slow -read an end-of-year summary

November 20
Rev Mike Coleman, On Behalf of WeCan! (Wider Earthquake Communities Action Network)
and the many Cantabrians who are struggling to be heard, has published a plea for all New Zealanders to listen to the plight of those affected by the quakes.
Though the media have largely gone away, the suffering has not - here is an extract:
We would like to know what is really happening to the people of Canterbury. What you have been led to believe is not the reality for thousands of Cantabrians. There has been dishonesty in the way the
Government has portrayed their handling of people affected by the earthquakes. They are not telling the truth.

There were never 11,000 sections ready for more than 5,000 displaced households as stated by Mr
Brownlee on a street corner in June. There is no affordable land in Canterbury for many of these people.
Our Government, on your behalf, are forcing thousands from their land with no hope of being able to
purchase new land. This will become another dark reality in our history and we are the generation
allowing this to happen. FULL DOCUMENT

November 2011 
November 9 After days of nil activity, now in the full moon phase, quake activity has come alive again with the largest being M4.2 west of Coopers Creek. At least 29 tonnes of energy release in that region of west Canterbury. ENERGY GRAPH 

November 4 Seismologists have issued a higher probability 12 month forecast for Canterbury - as the region may be subjected to "an extended aftershock cluster". A clearer picture on that probability will reveal itself within the coming 6 months. New % forecasts are:

M5.5 - 5.9 -  up from 37 %. to 46% in the next year

M6.0 - 6.4 - up from  10% to 15 % in the next year
The change is due to favouring a more unusual pattern over the standard model

FULL ARTICLE

October 29 Seismic activity has been in the lower range since a significant eastern seafloor release of 2 kilotonnes  on October 9. Recent highest activity has not exceeded 9 tonnes - energy graph

October 22     Christchurch (Rolleston) resonates with a M3.8 in hours following M7.4 seafloor shake, Kermadecs region near Raoul Island this morning, 6.57 am, as happened with the last M7+ quake in the Kermadecs in July 2011

October 18, 2011 An ever changing dispersal pattern of aftershocks prevails - "left , right & centre".

The Royal Commission into the quakes is in process. The geoscientific evidence is that a quake in the region of M6.0 has a 14% chance of occurrence in the coming year.

Having said that that faults that ruptured have reduced stress for some time to come, Dr Pettinga says other unknown faults could rupture: "We don't have the complete picture" he says. 

This would not fill me with confidence.  If another fatally destructive quake does arise in the next year, the geoscientists always have an out clause with these statements. 

Again, locals need to consider how much risk they are prepared to live with and make life plans accordingly. No government agency will now take any level of accountability if a worst case scenario occurs again in the Canterbury region. This perception is reinforced by the withdrawal of insurers from a place of such high risk. 

October 9  2011 The significance of the October 9 quake is evident on this energy release graph 

The Geonet reading is below. Aftershock intensities continue to exceed average forecasting 
Activity is occurring left, right & centre in the region with the current emphasis strongly in the eastern hills-seafloor, after a period around the Greendale fault zone.

October  9, 8.34pm M5.5 = 2 kilotonnes (8th largest) 12kms deep, seafloor off Boulder Bay

October 8 2011sequence begun with M4.8 at 4.17pm        data from Geonet NZ

From 4.17pm a sequence of 8 shocks in the Pigeon Bay area of Banks Peninsula, the largest two being M4.8, M4.1 
Over 246 tonnes of energy released between 4.17-4.56pm in various sites in the hilly area of Pigeon Bay where elevation averages hundreds of metres.
Three of the quakes were under 5kms deep.

Animated events on QuakeMap

JUNE 2011

June 13 2011 Geonet quake drums seismograph

The theme of several of my prior postings is being evidenced again today with ( June 13 local time) multiple aftershocks, so far up to M6.0 (by 2.20pm) in Christchurch and smaller events in the larger district of Canterbury.

This morning a posting re the eclipse sequence we are in during June 1-July 1 - a triple sequence of 2 solar and one lunar which ramps up the geophysical stresses. Added to this the moon was as perigee -closest orbit on Sunday 12th and the next eclipse will be exact in NZ on Thursday 16th. These factors have an impact on the integrity of the earth, due to push-pull forces.


the following prior posts have focussed on Christchurch in particular, date back to March this year (2011)
Christchurch Quake Warnings
Recent quake data
Christchurch: why warnings have been given

Update 3.21 pm
The aftershocks total 13 with high magnitude 4.3, 4.4,4.9, 5.5 and M6.0 in the past 3 hours
Can anyone explain this synchronicity:
Trigger event on 4th ( Sept 2010)
Second event on 22nd ( February 2011)
Third event    on 13th ( June 2011)
A numerologist would point out that all reduce to the number 4 and the themes of these events are extremely reflective of the problematic energy of 4 due to its resonance with the principles of Saturn

Update June 14
Anyone interested in mathematics may appreciate the newer post on links between the 3 main Christchurch events and how they have a connection to the last lunar eclipse.

Also noting that :
Sept 4 event was 4 days before the New Moon & lunar perigee ( closest orbit to earth) for that month
Feb 22 event was 3 days after Full Moon and lunar perigee
June 13 event was one day after lunar perigee and 3 days before Full Moon lunar eclipse

33 aftershocks today have hammered east Christchurch as at 7.08pm. The total will increase before midnight. (this data will only have a duration of one week from posting) So far today the highest M4.7 at Buckley's Bay Reserve was also the deepest at 13kms.
Mostly eastern coastal hills and the seafloor are being boomed as if by an unseen underground artillery.
Yesterday, June 13 there were 51 quakes ( the largest were upgraded to M6.3 & M5.6) showing overwhelmingly a similar locational preference.

Geoscience has concluded that a NEW fault has occurred in the June 13 events
The Daily Release chart - of quake energy -  is also worth a look

Geonet's forecast for this month to June 18 in terms of averages, has already been far exceeded, following a quietening, slowing and down-trending period, mid March to mid April. From April 19 their data reveals an uptrend.


Some data may be subsequently upgraded by Christchurch Quake Map after release & publication.


Update June 16
By 6pm a very high number of aftershocks, (34) with several sizeable magnitudes -   with 5 over M4.0
In comparison, on June 13 the new sequence date, there were 8 fore or aftershocks of M4.0 or higher. The Angry Earth just isn't settling according to standard modelling. Daily event totals so far : 67, 51, 34 -from June 13-June 15. Activity has become intense in the Banks Peninsula area, which is an ancient volcanic zone.
http://bit.ly/hDz2ek

Update June 22

Activity has shifted from primarily Banks Peninsula to the Halswell-Lincoln area in the west on June 21. The highest mag of that day was M5.4 in this area. The current Daily Release of energy chart

Update June 23

This summary this morning in The Press talks of anomalous aspects to the June 21 activity

Update June 24

Christchurch Quakemap
shows June 23 data with a horizontal cluster aligned with the Greendale fault. If that line is taken west to east there are 13 of the 16 aftershocks in that zone

Update June 29 

A lull on June 28, only 2 aftershocks, but increasing today with multiple activity in/around Lyttelton Harbour

The Christchurch Press Ask an Expert (geoscientist column) is worth looking at: the question re tsunami potential is particularly worth having an understanding of. Pity that the local council is offering housing subdivisions in Belfast.

Update July 2

Some earthquake science including elastic rebound theory

Update July 4

A lull period in global seismicity in terms of events over M6 globally ( last being June 26 M6.3 offshore Indonesia) and in Christchurch NZ, daily aftershock totals plunging in this recent sequence from Monday June 27:
9,2,10,4,7,2,1...and today, so far 0. This is an unusually quiet lull and with the gravitational factors high from July 1, the week ahead, including lunar perigee on July 7, will be one to watch in terms of a rebounding uptick, as evidenced after prior lulls, on the university graph.

A powerful southern ocean low about to impact NZ for an extended wet, windy & cold winter storm will add atmospheric turbulence into the mix - watch and see if this factor appears to play a role in a seismic uptick. There are people who subscribe to this theory.

Global statistics for the past decade show M4.0-4.9 is the most frequently occurring range globally. Following that are the bands from M. 3, then 2, 5, 1, 6, 7, and finally M8.0-8.9  - source USGS

Update July 8
Canterbury Quake Live is also an excellent site for extra detail, graphs, data, maps. 
July 7 saw a M4.4 in the Oxford area which is an expected uptick (largest since M4.4, June 27)  after the lull between June 30 and July 4 inclusive, when daily totals were 4,7,2,2,5 aftershocks.


Geonet map of past 60 days

Update July 14

The rich aftershock pattern  noted by Geonet continues, with the June 13 events (M6.3, M5.6. The Daily Energy Release graph shows how strong this recent sequence is even though events are far less frequent. (this link will alter over time, but look for early July data)

Update July 16

The official line, earlier this week is contradictory: that things are quietening plus high magnitude events are likely, according to this report (source The Press):
GNS Science has updated computer-generated quake forecasts for the Canterbury aftershock zone, saying there is a 23 per cent chance of a magnitude-6.0 to 7.9 quake in the next 12 months.
If that does not happen, that will fall to a 20 per cent chance on August 15 for the subsequent year, and, similarly, to 18 per cent on September 15 for the following 12 months.
The probability of a magnitude-5.0 to 5.9 in the next year remains high, at 94 per cent.
 New faults found "There's multiple hidden fault structures."  "We need to be careful and cautious".- 

Update July 17
Full Moon event period July 13-17 - significant clusters or events data (USGS)
M4.4 July 16 Chch
M4.0 July 17 Chch
M5.0-5.2 - 7 events Kermadecs region
M5.0-5.2 - 4 events Honshu, Japan
M6.0 Chile
M6.1 Alaska
M5.3-5.9 - 3 events Tonga region

Translating the long-term Geonet forecasts:
90% chance in the period Mid July 2011-mid Sept 2012 of a quake in the range M5.0-5.9 in Christchurch. 
25%, declining to 20% chance, in that time frame, of a quake larger than M6.0

Update July 18
Check out the broader Canterbury seismic drums. Inchbonnie (Alpine Fault) has acted up twice in 24 hours with lots of noise but no magnitude event
Update July 22

The Geonet NZ seismograph for the M5.1 today 5.39 a.m. at Dunsandel. See the regional drums
Geoscientist's latest forecasting which includes far more detailed breakdowns of their computer modelled expectations. The Wild Card in all this of course that a new hi-mag event sets off a newly energised sequence. Today's event is in the Greendale fault zone of Sept 4 2010. It has been assessed by Canterbury Quake Live as the 19th equal highest mag since Sept 4, shared with 6 other events, but the deepest of that set, at 11.7kms.

Update July 23
The Canterbury pattern seems to have shifted to one of infrequent but high magnitude events, whereas the previous sequence declines since Sept 4 went into extended lower magnitude batches of M2+ and M3+.
Today's M4.3 11kms deep, 7.45 a.m., was again in The Dunsandel area of the Greendale fault.
Data can be searched.
Compare the two M6+ sequences, first starting February, showing highest magnitudes.
1. Feb 22 sequence is 6.46,  5.08,  4.94,  5.32,  5.22,  5.31,  5.55

2. June 13 sequence:  6.37,  5.46,  5.09,
(this will be updated as data arrives) Feb 22 started with a slightly higher, though the most destructive due to location, but the June 13 set is followed so far by higher magnitude events.

Update Aug 2 2011

Fun fact: Feb 14 2011 saw a major X-class solar flare send pulsing magnetic material towards earth. Nothing that significant had been recorded by NASA since 1995. Of late the sun has been extra quiet ( see post on Solar minimum & sunspots) but the odd large flare is still in the frame.
What we know is Christchurch & Japan suffered extreme quake damage within a month of that event.
Currently amidst a flurry of sunspots across the sun's mid-latitudes, Sunspot 1261 is believed to harbour capacity for another X-class flare. Watch and see what August brings. Christchurch has been very quiet of late though, as if tailing off ( July 22, M5.1 is the last high mag event) View some Chch quake history - graphed

Update August 26
An at a glance look at the quake progression since Sept 4 2010 in Chch/Canterbury shows events are at a similar point to May 2011, still with potential for a M5+ event. Mid June to mid July was the most active recent period and the present period continues at an average/below average event level.
For those who follow Ken Ring -his observations are pointing to caution needed, particularly around late Sept.
My references show a higher gravitational period from Sept 23-30 involving solar and lunar factors, with 27-28th particularly energised by the alignments of Mercury, Mars, Uranus and Pluto. People and places corresponding ( by vibrational resonance) to the turbulence generated will experience difficult/stressful events, but I will leave that to other locational specialists to determine whether Christchurch is in the frame. Certainly people born, any year, on or close to, Sept 27, Dec 26, April 24, July 25 are the prime resonators.

Update Sept 1 2011
After a lull period in August, the end of the month August 31 saw two higher intensity events: M4.0, M4.7 (or .8 in one source) The energy graph shows August 31 was the biggest seismic pulse since July 22 (highest M5.1)
Update Sept 2
Locals will be nervous in the light of the 3rd M4+ event on the eve of the Sept 2010 M7.1.
Today, Geonet reports:

This event conforms to a commonly seen pattern: 4 days after New Moon as well as in close proximity to perigee (Aug 30) , Moon at equator (Aug 30).